It’s A Beautiful World…

umm… ok, most of the time :)

Global Crisis- Part 2/4

with 5 comments

I was thinking where to begin. It all looks like a thousand snakes that grabbed the other’s tail and trying to swallow each other. But one has to begin somewhere.

It all started with the Big-City-Man who wants to buy a house. And since he grew up in the city, he wants it NOW. But the bank is not sure if Cityman can repay. Everyone tries to avoid “risk”, right? The bank checked his “credit rating” and found him ok. The bank told Cityman, “Look, I will give you money, you can buy home. But home belongs to bank until you repay. If you default on repayment, you lose your house.” This is called a “mortgage”. Since Cityman grew up in the city, and wants to have whatever he wants RIGHT NOW, he agreed.

Now Cityman has a house to live in, and a “liability” to keep paying the bank for the next 20 years. What about the bank? The bank will keep getting money for the next twenty years, or else, they get a house which they can sell to get back the money. This is definitely “future money”. This is an “asset”. “This can definitely be sold!!”, the smart bankers got thinking. They pooled all the “future money” together, then chopped it all again into smaller asset pieces to be sold. This process is called “securitisation”, and what they created are called “Mortgage Backed Securities” (MBS) or “Collateralised Debt Obligations” (CDO). It all looked risk free, but still people did not buy. They asked, “what if the people don’t repay? what if Cityman defaults on his credit?”

In comes more finance wizards called insurers. “Give me a percentage of the EMI. In return, in case Cityman dont pay, I guarantee that I will swap places with him, I will pay.”, the Insurer said. Suddenly, the CDO looked like a nice, debt free investment and people started buying them. But let us now come back to our Insurer. He has a steady stream of income, the insurance premium, which is a percentage of the EMI Cityman repays. That is an asset. What about the Insurer’s liability? What if Cityman defaults his repayment? Well, that is unlikely, Cityman has a good credit rating. So the Insurer decided to “securitise” his asset and sell it. He created the “Credit Default Swap” (CDS)!!!

If you thought things have become complex, please wait before you jump to early conclusions.

(To be continued…)

Written by anandms

October 12, 2008 at 11:43 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

5 Responses

Subscribe to comments with RSS.

  1. this is definitely not boring. no,seriously. i am one who has truly wholly and absolutely no idea abt the things you are talking about, of course,until you talked about them. and its been interesting.. you are good at explaining…

    one thing.

    why city MAN?? citywoman also want to buy a house RIGHT NOW. ;)

    waiting for the 3rd part!

    roshny

    October 13, 2008 at 4:41 pm

  2. Anand what a nice story :) ..u shud take finance class …. Well written

    Vinu

    October 13, 2008 at 9:46 pm

  3. second part is a flow but not smooth.

    N BHASKARAN

    October 20, 2008 at 10:20 am

  4. The plot thickens! I suppose the credit rating agencies, mortgage brokers, and other key players start to come out of the shadows, each playing their role in complicating the plot. We’ll wait for Anand to tell the story.

    Balagopal

    October 21, 2008 at 11:01 am

  5. Good…

    Sam Chandran

    November 5, 2008 at 8:52 pm


Leave a Reply